Young Herschel
Well-Known Member
Of all those aforementioned states (GA, TX, FL, OH & LA) not one of them was ever Iowa in the winter of 2016. You don't remember when Iowa was #NeverTrump?!?!? You don't remember when Iowa's sister state ~ Wisconsin was #NeverTrump!?!?!I watched Black Conservative Perspective's video on the Iowa Seltzer poll last night & I didn't realize the MSM & Dems were using that Seltzer Poll as a desperate light of Hope. The poll is so ridiculous that it was laughed off. Seeing how ridiculously pro-Trump the Iowa Caucus electorate was back in January (+ Trump's '16 & '20 Iowa wins), I expect Trump to win Iowa comfortably.
The overwhelming majority of Bush & Reagan Republicans are still gonna vote for Trump with Harris & Walz being terrible candidates.
As for the Abortion part, it's pretty obvious Seltzer polled too many abortion-obssesed AWFLs. If Abortion was really a strong enough issue to flip Iowa to Kamala, you'd see the same thing thing in the other red states that passed similar Heartbeat bills (GA, TX, FL, OH, LA, & etc).
I do remember and my guy on MSNBC Alan Belcher just opined this afternoon that the Des Moines Register poll has its greatest impact in that it captures how poorly Trump reelection campaign closing messaging has been last month with his performance at that Univision Town Hall in Miami, FL and his MSG New York fiasco . . . in a market where the Harris election campaign has not spent a buck of its billion dollars of contributions.
The elder Iowan women remember what life was like before Roe vs Wade and according to J. Ann Selzer they are making their voices heard . . . they remember the back ally abortions and the Ladies rooms where bodies were found with coat hangers back in the 60's
J. Ann Selzer is known as the "Outlier Queen" for a reason and I believe she has effectively captured the #HarrisSurge that didn't manifest on Halloween night. You would be hard pressed @ColiBreh1 to find a more well regarded election pollster because she has such an established track record of excellence dating back to Bush Gore 2000!!